Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Beit Shean

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gabis A.
19' Event
Bashir B.
45' Event
Tahaish R.

AI Match Summary

Beit Shean in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beit Shean.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
20%
Draws
38%
Beit Shean
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beit Shean lately — more wins on the board than Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 20%
Beit Shean Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Beit Shean
Matches Played 21 20
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Beit Shean
2:3
Oct 10, 2025 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2:1
Feb 24, 2018 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Beit Shean
3:0
Oct 13, 2017 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Compare

Top Goalscorer Bashir B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khoury M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Beit Shean Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tahaish R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 42 / 100
Beit Shean 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Beit Shean

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Beit Shean let in goals in 65% of their last 20 matches.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS Beit Shean
0 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Home)
26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
05 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
30 Jan
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2 : 4
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 5

Beit Shean

(Away)
26 Feb
Beit Shean
0 : 0
MS Tira
19 Feb
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 1
Beit Shean
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
06 Feb
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 1
Beit Shean
31 Jan
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
2 : 2
Beit Shean
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)