Sport Picks
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs FC Shefa-Amr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
State Cup 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are expected to control this from the start. FC Shefa-Amr have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.53. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 20%
FC Shefa-Amr Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | FC Shefa-Amr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 31 / 100
FC Shefa-Amr 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm FC Shefa-Amr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm scored in 74% of their last 19 games.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS FC Shefa-Amr
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
(Home) 09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3 Ironi Baka
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 4
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3 Ironi Baka
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3 Beit Shean
Page 1 of 2
FC Shefa-Amr
(Away)Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
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