Sport Picks
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Karmiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Liga Alef North 
AI Match Summary
The Liga Alef North game between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and Hapoel Karmiel finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Karmiel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's 1.55 goals per match outpaces what Hapoel Karmiel have produced (1.3).
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Hapoel Karmiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 20 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Karmiel
0:0
Feb 5, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Karmiel
1:0
Sep 26, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 32 / 100
Hapoel Karmiel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Karmiel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 20 recent games.
Hapoel Karmiel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 20 matches.
Historical meetings average 0.67 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS Hapoel Karmiel
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
(Home) 09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3 Ironi Baka
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 4
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3 Ironi Baka
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3 Beit Shean
Page 1 of 3
Hapoel Karmiel
(Away) 08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1 Ironi Nesher
19 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
1 : 1 Hapoel Karmiel
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 4
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
1 : 1 Hapoel Karmiel
04 Sept
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
1 : 3 Hapoel Karmiel
19 Feb
MS Tira
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
05 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Tira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Beitar Nahariya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Karmiel | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Ironi Nesher | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Nof Hagalil | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 10 | Ironi Baka | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 13 | H. Ihud Bnei Jatt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Beit Shean | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:14 | 2 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)
