Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Nesher

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Abu Raiya B.
55' Event
Razon S.
62' Event
Gabarin N. A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Ironi Nesher in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ironi Nesher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
20%
Draws
38%
Ironi Nesher
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have won more games recently than Ironi Nesher.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Umm al-Fahm taking it.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 20%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Ironi Nesher
Matches Played 22 20
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Nesher
1:2
Sep 11, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2:1
Jan 19, 2019 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1:3
Sep 16, 2018 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Nesher
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ironi Nesher Compare

Top Goalscorer Razon S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biton I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 42 / 100
Ironi Nesher 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Ironi Nesher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Ironi Nesher let in goals in 75% of their last 20 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS Ironi Nesher
0 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Home)
26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
05 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
30 Jan
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2 : 4
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 5

Ironi Nesher

(Away)
27 Feb
Ironi Nesher
0 : 0
Ironi Baka
19 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 0
Ironi Nesher
13 Feb
Ironi Nesher
3 : 1
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
06 Feb
MS Tira
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
30 Jan
Ironi Nesher
1 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)