Sport Picks
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Nof Hagalil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Liga Alef North 
Match Events
6'
6'
Gadban M.
19'
19'
Shalofa J.
48'
48'
Rayan A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nof Hagalil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm haven't matched Nof Hagalil's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 20%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | Nof Hagalil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Nof Hagalil
2:2
Apr 17, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Nof Hagalil
0:0
Jan 17, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2:1
Sep 12, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Nof Hagalil
0:1
May 17, 2024 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Compare
Top Goalscorer Gadban M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mahamid M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Nof Hagalil Compare
Top Goalscorer Shalofa J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 36 / 100
Nof Hagalil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Nof Hagalil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (20 games).
Nof Hagalil has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS Nof Hagalil
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
(Home) 09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3 Ironi Baka
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 4
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3 Ironi Baka
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3 Beit Shean
Page 1 of 3
Nof Hagalil
(Away) 08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2 Nof Hagalil
30 Sept
Nof Hagalil
2 : 3 FC Tzeirey Tamra
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3 Nof Hagalil
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2 Nof Hagalil
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3 Nof Hagalil
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
15 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 1 Nof Hagalil
11 May
MS Kafr Qasim
1 : 1 Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Tira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Beitar Nahariya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Karmiel | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Ironi Nesher | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Nof Hagalil | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 10 | Ironi Baka | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 13 | H. Ihud Bnei Jatt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Beit Shean | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:14 | 2 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)
