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Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Sat, Jan 30, 2027
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm host Tzeirey Um El Fahem in the Liga Alef North. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm go into this one as the clear favorite. Tzeirey Um El Fahem have shipped 1.35 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have conceded 1.4 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have won 0 to Tzeirey Um El Fahem's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2027, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
35%
Draws
19%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have won more games recently than Tzeirey Um El Fahem.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 20%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Matches Played 20 17
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2027 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Oct 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Jan 13, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 58 / 100
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Tzeirey Um El Fahem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm scored in 70% of their last 20 games.

Defensive concern: Tzeirey Um El Fahem conceded in 71% of 17 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Home)
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3
Ironi Baka
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2
Nof Hagalil
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Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Away)
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
10 Sept
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)