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Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. Beitar Nahariya are expected to control this from the start. Hapoel Yarka have averaged 1 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Beitar Nahariya's 1.44 scored and 2 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.40 - 1.58) back Beitar Nahariya to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hapoel Yarka
25%
Draws
35%
Beitar Nahariya
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hapoel Yarka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Beitar Nahariya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Beitar Nahariya a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Beitar Nahariya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hapoel Yarka Clean Sheet 14%
Beitar Nahariya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Yarka Beitar Nahariya
Matches Played 2 9
Wins 1 5
Draws 0 1
Losses 1 3
Goals Scored 1 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Yarka 23 / 100
Beitar Nahariya 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Yarka Beitar Nahariya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Nahariya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Yarka's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Beitar Nahariya has conceded goals in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Hapoel Yarka has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Beitar Nahariya has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Yarka VS Beitar Nahariya
0.67 Goals Scored 1.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Yarka

(Home)
28 Oct
Hapoel Yarka
0 : 4
Kiryat Gat
30 Sept
Kiryat Haim
1 : 2
Hapoel Yarka

Beitar Nahariya

(Away)
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1
Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
3 : 0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2
Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
2 : 0
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
Beitar Petah Tikva -
Bnei Herzliya -
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