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Happy Valley vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Eastern AA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Happy Valley
15%
Draws
36%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Happy Valley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern AA come out ahead of Happy Valley on wins alone.
  • Model gives Happy Valley a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Eastern AA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Happy Valley Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Happy Valley Eastern AA
Matches Played 36 45
Wins 8 20
Draws 10 7
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.33 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2021 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Happy Valley
2:1
Apr 7, 2021 Sapling Cup
Happy Valley vs Eastern AA
0:2
Feb 27, 2021 Premier League
Happy Valley vs Eastern AA
1:1
Feb 21, 2021 FA Cup
Eastern AA vs Happy Valley
0:0
Nov 7, 2020 Sapling Cup
Happy Valley vs Eastern AA
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Happy Valley 58 / 100
Eastern AA 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Happy Valley Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Happy Valley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Happy Valley scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Eastern AA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 45 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Eastern AA's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern AA
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Happy Valley

(Home)
30 May
Hong Kong Rangers
3 : 3
Happy Valley
22 May
Happy Valley
7 : 2
Resources Capital
16 May
Southern District
2 : 1
Happy Valley
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 1
Happy Valley
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 8

Eastern AA

(Away)
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 6 3 3 0 11:2 12
2 Kitchee 6 3 3 0 11:4 12
3 Pegasus 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
4 Hong Kong Rangers 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2020/2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern AA 6 4 1 1 17:7 13
2 Happy Valley 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
3 Southern District 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
4 Resources Capital 6 0 1 5 5:19 1
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2020/2021 (Play Offs)