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Stadium Background

Haras El Hodood vs Gomhoriat Shebin

Egypt Egypt

Division 2 A 2023/2024 Harras El Hodood Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haras El Hodood play Gomhoriat Shebin in the Division 2 A 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Haras El Hodood averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Gomhoriat Shebin averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Haras El Hodood won 1, Gomhoriat Shebin won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 29, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Haras El Hodood and 1.25 for Gomhoriat Shebin. This points to a Haras El Hodood double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Haras El Hodood
25%
Draws
31%
Gomhoriat Shebin
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Haras El Hodood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Haras El Hodood picked up more points recently compared to Gomhoriat Shebin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Haras El Hodood Clean Sheet 19%
Gomhoriat Shebin Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haras El Hodood Gomhoriat Shebin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2024 Division 2 A
Haras El Hodood vs Gomhoriat Shebin
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haras El Hodood Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Jaoude M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Gomhoriat Shebin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haras El Hodood 43 / 100
Gomhoriat Shebin 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haras El Hodood Gomhoriat Shebin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Haras El Hodood or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Haras El Hodood attacking → ← attacking Gomhoriat Shebin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haras El Hodood scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Gomhoriat Shebin let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Haras El Hodood went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gomhoriat Shebin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 25
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Petrojet19143234:1345
2Wadi Degla19108127:1338
3Haras El Hodood1999128:1836
4Ghazl El Mahallah1998221:1235
5La Viena1996430:1733
6Tanta1985623:1729
7Al-Sekka19611220:1229
8Proxy1978423:2329
9Al Qanah1977521:1628
10Raya19610321:1628
11Asyut Petroleum1984720:2028
12Abu Qir Semad1967619:1625
13WE Sports Club1973923:2324
14Aswan1957719:2022
15Dekernes1956819:2821
16Makadi1929817:2315
17Gomhoriat Shebin19351110:2514
18Nogoom FC19341214:2813
19Misr Lel Makkasa19231418:449
20Nasr Taadeen19131514:376