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Harborough vs Darlington FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kennedy C.
35' Event
Stephenson D.
38' Event
McLaughlin P.

AI Match Summary

Harborough in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Harborough
30%
Draws
23%
Darlington FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Harborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Darlington FC haven't matched Harborough's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Harborough taking it.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Harborough Clean Sheet 20%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harborough Darlington FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.61 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League North
Harborough vs Darlington FC
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Kennedy C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assombalonga B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Darlington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephenson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McLaughlin P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harborough 58 / 100
Darlington FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harborough Darlington FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Harborough's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Darlington FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Harborough went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harborough VS Darlington FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Harborough

(Home)
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0
Southport
03 Oct
Harborough
3 : 2
St. Albans
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0
Rushall
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
Page 1 of 6

Darlington FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Merthyr Town
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0
Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4
Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1
Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
5 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
6 King’s Lynn 11 6 1 4 21:15 19
7 Hebburn Town 11 5 3 3 16:19 18
8 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
9 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
10 Buxton 11 5 1 5 18:19 16
11 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
12 Hednesford 11 4 3 4 18:17 15
13 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
14 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
15 Worksop 11 5 0 6 12:17 15
16 Brackley 11 4 3 4 13:20 15
17 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
18 Merthyr Town 11 3 5 3 13:12 14
19 Scarborough Athletic 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
20 Southport 11 2 3 6 13:21 9
21 Radcliffe 11 3 0 8 13:21 9
22 Telford 11 2 3 6 9:17 9
23 Darlington FC 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)