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Harborough vs Hereford Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League North Harborough Town Community Football Ground, Harborough
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Iwunze H.
64' Event
Cox C.
90' Event
Waldron D.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Harborough and Hereford finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hereford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Harborough
20%
Draws
57%
Hereford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harborough come out ahead of Hereford on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Hereford taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Harborough Clean Sheet 10%
Hereford Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harborough Hereford
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League North
Harborough vs Hereford
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harborough Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Hereford Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwunze H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cox C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harborough 10 / 100
Hereford 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harborough Hereford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Harborough scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Hereford has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Harborough has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Harborough VS Hereford
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Harborough

(Home)
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0
Rushall
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Harborough
Page 1 of 6

Hereford

(Away)
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
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