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Harborough vs Morecambe Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League North Harborough Town Community Football Ground, Harborough
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
O’Sullivan R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Harborough and Morecambe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Harborough
20%
Draws
57%
Morecambe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morecambe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harborough come out ahead of Morecambe on wins alone.
  • Morecambe are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Harborough Clean Sheet 15%
Morecambe Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harborough Morecambe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League North
Harborough vs Morecambe
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harborough 19 / 100
Morecambe 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harborough Morecambe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morecambe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harborough scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Morecambe conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Harborough stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harborough VS Morecambe
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Harborough

(Home)
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0
Rushall
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Harborough
Page 1 of 6

Morecambe

(Away)
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1
Morecambe
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
12 Sept
Morecambe
3 : 0
Brackley
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1
Morecambe
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0
Buxton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
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