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Harborough vs Royston Town

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Shamalo J.
50' Event
Hickey B.
52' Event
O’Sullivan R.

AI Match Summary

Harborough in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Harborough
15%
Draws
0%
Royston Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harborough lately — more wins on the board than Royston Town.
  • Model gives Harborough a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Harborough have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Harborough Clean Sheet 68%
Royston Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harborough Royston Town
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 1.79 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Harborough vs Royston Town
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Royston Town vs Harborough
0:2
Jan 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Royston Town vs Harborough
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Harborough vs Royston Town
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Hickey B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O’Sullivan R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Royston Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Shamalo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harborough 95 / 100
Royston Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harborough Royston Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harborough found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Royston Town conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Royston Town lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Harborough VS Royston Town
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Harborough

(Home)
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Brackley
1 : 0
Harborough
31 Aug
Harborough
2 : 1
Marine
28 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 1
Harborough
Page 1 of 6

Royston Town

(Away)
05 Sept
Real Bedford
4 : 1
Royston Town
29 Aug
Hashtag
3 : 1
Royston Town
25 Apr
Stourbridge
1 : 0
Royston Town
18 Apr
Royston Town
0 : 3
Stamford
11 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 0
Royston Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)