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Harborough vs Southport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
O’Sullivan R.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Harborough and Southport finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Harborough
20%
Draws
29%
Southport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Southport have managed 1.36 goals a game lately — Harborough are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Win probability leans Harborough's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Harborough Clean Sheet 68%
Southport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harborough Southport
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 National League North
Harborough vs Southport
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harborough Compare

Top Goalscorer O’Sullivan R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Southport Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harborough 68 / 100
Southport 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harborough Southport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southport has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Harborough scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Harborough stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Southport lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harborough VS Southport
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harborough

(Home)
03 Oct
Harborough
3 : 2
St. Albans
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0
Rushall
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
Page 1 of 6

Southport

(Away)
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2
Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0
Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1
Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Southport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)