Sport Picks

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Harborough vs Worcester

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Pennant T.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Harborough and Worcester finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Harborough
35%
Draws
32%
Worcester
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harborough come out ahead of Worcester on wins alone.
  • Harborough are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Harborough Clean Sheet 68%
Worcester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harborough Worcester
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Harborough vs Worcester
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Harborough
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Pennant T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Worcester Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harborough 50 / 100
Worcester 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harborough Worcester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harborough's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Harborough remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Worcester has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Harborough VS Worcester
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harborough

(Home)
08 Aug
King’s Lynn
1 : 1
Harborough
25 Jul
Quorn
2 : 2
Harborough
11 Jul
Real Bedford
4 : 4
Harborough
25 Apr
Stamford
0 : 0
Harborough
18 Apr
Harborough
1 : 1
Stortford
Page 1 of 6

Worcester

(Away)
11 Aug
Alvechurch
3 : 1
Worcester
08 Aug
Stratford
1 : 1
Worcester
01 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0
Merthyr Town
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0
Worcester
10 Jul
Worcester
0 : 0
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)