Sport Picks

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Harbour View vs Chapelton

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Harbour View Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Howe N.
61' Event
Granville R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Harbour View and Chapelton finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Harbour View
15%
Draws
28%
Chapelton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harbour View

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chapelton come out ahead of Harbour View on wins alone.
  • Harbour View are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Harbour View Clean Sheet 68%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harbour View Chapelton
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Harbour View vs Chapelton
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Harbour View
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Harbour View vs Chapelton
0:2
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
Harbour View vs Chapelton
3:0
Dec 22, 2024 Premier League
Chapelton vs Harbour View
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harbour View Compare

Top Goalscorer Granville R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Chapelton Compare

Top Goalscorer Howe N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harbour View 77 / 100
Chapelton 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harbour View Chapelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harbour View Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harbour View scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Chapelton conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Chapelton lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harbour View VS Chapelton
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Harbour View

(Home)
06 May
Cavalier
2 : 1
Harbour View
03 May
Molynes United
0 : 1
Harbour View
26 Apr
Harbour View
4 : 3
Montego Bay
23 Apr
FC Dunbeholden
4 : 0
Harbour View
19 Apr
Harbour View
0 : 1
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

Chapelton

(Away)
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0
Chapelton
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
24 Apr
Mount Pleasant
5 : 2
Chapelton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)