Sport Picks

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Harbour View vs Chapelton

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Harbour View Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Howe N.
61' Event
Granville R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Harbour View and Chapelton finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Harbour View
33%
Draws
27%
Chapelton
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Harbour View

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chapelton come out ahead of Harbour View on wins alone.
  • Harbour View are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Harbour View Clean Sheet 68%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harbour View Chapelton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier League
Harbour View vs Chapelton
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Harbour View
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Harbour View vs Chapelton
0:2
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
Harbour View vs Chapelton
3:0
Dec 22, 2024 Premier League
Chapelton vs Harbour View
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harbour View Compare

Top Goalscorer Granville R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chapelton Compare

Top Goalscorer Howe N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harbour View 50 / 100
Chapelton 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harbour View Chapelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harbour View scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Chapelton conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Chapelton lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harbour View VS Chapelton
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Harbour View

(Home)
06 May
Cavalier
2 : 1
Harbour View
03 May
Molynes United
0 : 1
Harbour View
26 Apr
Harbour View
4 : 3
Montego Bay
23 Apr
FC Dunbeholden
4 : 0
Harbour View
19 Apr
Harbour View
0 : 1
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 6

Chapelton

(Away)
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
24 Apr
Mount Pleasant
5 : 2
Chapelton
19 Apr
Chapelton
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)