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Harbour View vs Spanish Town Police

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Harbour View Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harbour View play Spanish Town Police in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Harbour View averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Spanish Town Police averaged 0.73 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. In past meetings, Harbour View won 2, Spanish Town Police won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 19, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Harbour View and 1.25 for Spanish Town Police. This points to a Harbour View double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Harbour View
15%
Draws
34%
Spanish Town Police
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harbour View

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Harbour View picked up more points recently compared to Spanish Town Police.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Harbour View Clean Sheet 19%
Spanish Town Police Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harbour View Spanish Town Police
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.45 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.87 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Premier League
Harbour View vs Spanish Town Police
3:0
Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs Harbour View
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Harbour View vs Spanish Town Police
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harbour View Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reid T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Spanish Town Police Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harbour View 50 / 100
Spanish Town Police 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harbour View Spanish Town Police

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Harbour View or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Harbour View attacking → ← attacking Spanish Town Police

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harbour View scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Spanish Town Police let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Harbour View went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Spanish Town Police lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 24
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126