Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hardenberg vs Barendrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker Sportpark de Boshoek, Hardenberg
Tue, Sep 22, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the KNVB Beker. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Barendrecht have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Hardenberg have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.69. Head-to-head, Hardenberg have won 3 to Barendrecht's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.00 - 1.44) back Hardenberg to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hardenberg
30%
Draws
27%
Barendrecht
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hardenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Hardenberg have managed 1.69 goals a game lately — Barendrecht are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Win probability leans Hardenberg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Hardenberg, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 16%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hardenberg Barendrecht
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.69 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Hardenberg
1:3
Jan 17, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Hardenberg
4:1
Aug 23, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Barendrecht
3:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Barendrecht
3:1
Aug 17, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Hardenberg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 39 / 100
Barendrecht 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hardenberg Barendrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hardenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Barendrecht conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Hardenberg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hardenberg's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS Barendrecht
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hardenberg

(Home)
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Hardenberg
2 : 2
De Treffers
29 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3
Hardenberg
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1
Jong Almere City
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

Barendrecht

(Away)
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
05 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 3
Barendrecht
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2
Katwijk
22 Aug
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 2
Barendrecht
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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RKSV Halsteren 3
Rijnvogels 5
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ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
Longa '30 0
Koninklijke HFC 4
Surhusterfean 1
VV DOVO 2
Harkemase Boys 0
Excelsior 31 1
Alkmaarse FC 1934 4
VV Scherpenzeel 1
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VV Heerjansdam 1
Be Quick 1887 0
AFC 2
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VV Noordwijk 1
HZVV Hoogeveen 0
Frisia 4
ACV Assen 6
Westlandia 1
VV Hoogeveen 3
SVZW Wierden 2
Lierop 0
VV Zwaluwen 7
Purmersteijn 4
RKVV Zwaluw 3
Staphorst 3
UNA 2
Genemuiden 2
Lisse 1
Elinkwijk 0
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GSV 28 0
Roosendaal 4
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RKSV UDI 19 5
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EVV -
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