Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hardenberg vs Capelle

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2021/2022
Tue, Sep 21, 2021
0 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

95' Event
Slabbekoorn M.
109' Event
van der Sande O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Capelle advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Hardenberg
20%
Draws
51%
Capelle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hardenberg haven't matched Capelle's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Hardenberg taking it.
  • Capelle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Capelle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 18%
Capelle Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hardenberg Capelle
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2021 KNVB Beker
Hardenberg vs Capelle
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hardenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Capelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Slabbekoorn M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van der Sande O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 36 / 100
Capelle 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hardenberg Capelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Hardenberg's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hardenberg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS Capelle
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hardenberg

(Home)
08 Aug
Genemuiden
1 : 1
Hardenberg
23 May
AFC
2 : 3
Hardenberg
16 May
Hardenberg
3 : 3
Kozakken Boys
09 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 0
Hardenberg
25 Apr
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Quick Boys
Page 1 of 6

Capelle

(Away)
28 Oct
Capelle
1 : 5
Roda
23 Sept
Capelle
5 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
02 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Capelle
29 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 1
Capelle
24 Sept
HV & CV Quick
0 : 3
Capelle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Harkemase Boys -
GOES -
TBD -
TBD -
VV DOVO -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
DEM 1
Sparta Nijkerk 2
TBD -
Sliedrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Staphorst -
TBD -
TBD -
Dongen -
Gemert -
TBD -
TBD -
TEC -
FC OSS '20 -
TBD -
HSC '21 2
Excelsior 31 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ASWH -
TBD -
TBD -
HV & CV Quick -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ADO 20 Heemskerk -
TBD -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
Barendrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
SVV Scheveningen -
FC Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
Hoogland -
TBD -
TBD -
Westlandia -
OFC Oostzaan -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Vitesse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
VVOG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Achilles Veen -
TBD -
TBD -
DTS Ede -
GVV Unitas -
TBD -
Watergraafsmeer 1
Ter Leede 5
DVS '33 Ermelo -
TBD -
TBD -
VV Noordwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
IJsselmeervogels -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportlust -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Groningen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Ajax (Am) 2
EVV 1
TBD -
VVSB -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
Capelle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Blauw Geel 1
Lisse 2
TBD -
AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
ODIN '59 -
TBD -
TBD -
De Treffers -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Almere City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Groene Ster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
UNA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
HSV Hoek -
TBD -
TBD -
SteDoCo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
USV Hercules -
TBD -
HVV Hollandia 1
ACV Assen 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
1/64-finals
Katwijk 2
Harkemase Boys 3
GOES 1
VV DOVO 2
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
Sparta Nijkerk 2
Sliedrecht 0
TBD -
Den Haag -
Staphorst 3
Dongen 1
Gemert 3
TEC 1
FC OSS '20 2
HSC '21 1
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ASWH 1
HV & CV Quick 0
TBD -
Heracles -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 2
Koninklijke HFC 1
Barendrecht 3
SVV Scheveningen 0
FC Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
Hoogland 0
Westlandia 1
OFC Oostzaan 0
Excelsior Maassluis 2
Vitesse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GVVV 3
VVOG 1
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Achilles Veen 3
DTS Ede 2
GVV Unitas 1
Ter Leede 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 3
VV Noordwijk 2
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
IJsselmeervogels 3
Sportlust 1
TBD -
Excelsior -
Groningen -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Ajax (Am) 4
VVSB 1
TBD -
Cambuur -
Hardenberg 0
Capelle 2
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Lisse 1
AFC 2
TBD -
Heerenveen -
ODIN '59 1
De Treffers 2
Quick Boys 0
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
Almere City -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Kozakken Boys 2
Groene Ster 0
TBD -
Telstar -
Spakenburg 5
UNA 2
TBD -
Dordrecht -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
HSV Hoek 2
SteDoCo 3
TBD -
Utrecht -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
USV Hercules 1
ACV Assen 2
TBD -
Maastricht -
1/32-finals
Harkemase Boys 2
VV DOVO 1
Waalwijk 3
Willem II 0
Sparta Nijkerk 0
Den Haag 2
Staphorst 0
Gemert 3
FC OSS '20 0
Twente 2
TBD -
Feyenoord -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
ASWH 1
Heracles 3
Ajax -
TBD -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 2
Barendrecht 3
FC Volendam 0
FC Emmen 3
Westlandia 2
Excelsior Maassluis 5
Vitesse -
TBD -
GVVV 0
Sparta Rotterdam 2
Achilles Veen 4
GVV Unitas 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
Eindhoven FC 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Excelsior 3
Groningen 4
Helmond Sport 0
Ajax (Am) 0
Cambuur 5
Capelle 0
Nijmegen 3
AFC 1
Heerenveen 2
De Treffers 3
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
Almere City 0
G.A. Eagles 2
Roda 2
Den Bosch 1
PSV -
TBD -
Sittard 3
TOP Oss 0
Kozakken Boys 1
Telstar 2
Spakenburg 3
Dordrecht 0
NAC Breda 2
Venlo 1
SteDoCo 0
Utrecht 5
Zwolle 4
De Graafschap 1
ACV Assen 0
Maastricht 3
1/16-finals
Harkemase Boys 0
Waalwijk 5
Den Haag 4
Gemert 2
Twente 2
Feyenoord 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Heracles 1
Ajax 4
Barendrecht 0
FC Emmen 0
Excelsior Maassluis 1
Vitesse 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
Achilles Veen 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
Excelsior 2
Groningen 4
Cambuur 1
Nijmegen 2
Heerenveen 2
De Treffers 0
G.A. Eagles 2
Roda 0
PSV 2
Sittard 0
Telstar 5
Spakenburg 3
NAC Breda 3
Utrecht 2
Zwolle 4
Maastricht 0
1/8-finals
Waalwijk 4
Den Haag 2
Twente 1
AZ Alkmaar 2
Ajax 9
Excelsior Maassluis 0
Vitesse 2
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
Groningen 1
Nijmegen 2
Heerenveen 0
G.A. Eagles 1
PSV 2
Telstar 1
NAC Breda 2
Zwolle 1
Quarter-finals
Waalwijk 0
AZ Alkmaar 4
Ajax 5
Vitesse 0
Nijmegen 0
G.A. Eagles 2
PSV 4
NAC Breda 0
Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar 0
Ajax 2
G.A. Eagles 1
PSV 2
Final
Ajax 1
PSV 2