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Hardenberg vs IJsselmeervogels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark de Boshoek, Hardenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Deuling S.
30' Event
Sopacua T.
Assist: Olde Weghuis T.
34'
Spijkerman B.

AI Match Summary

Hardenberg in this Tweede Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hardenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Hardenberg
15%
Draws
59%
IJsselmeervogels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IJsselmeervogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to IJsselmeervogels lately — more wins on the board than Hardenberg.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Hardenberg taking it.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%
IJsselmeervogels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hardenberg IJsselmeervogels
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs IJsselmeervogels
2:1
May 9, 2026 Tweede Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs Hardenberg
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs IJsselmeervogels
4:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
IJsselmeervogels vs Hardenberg
8:2
Jan 6, 2024 Club Friendly
IJsselmeervogels vs Hardenberg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Deuling S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sopacua T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

IJsselmeervogels Compare

Top Goalscorer Beers J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 34 / 100
IJsselmeervogels 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hardenberg IJsselmeervogels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hardenberg scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

IJsselmeervogels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Hardenberg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS IJsselmeervogels
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hardenberg

(Home)
03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
26 Sept
Quick Boys
2 : 0
Hardenberg
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

IJsselmeervogels

(Away)
03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
26 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
3 : 0
Rijnsburgse Boys
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
19 Sept
Rohda Raalte
0 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
05 Sept
VV Kloetinge
0 : 2
IJsselmeervogels
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 8 7 0 1 22:6 21
2 Kozakken Boys 8 5 2 1 23:12 17
3 De Treffers 8 4 3 1 20:9 15
4 Hardenberg 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
5 Barendrecht 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
6 IJsselmeervogels 7 4 1 2 10:5 13
7 Spakenburg 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
8 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 3 2 23:15 12
9 Katwijk 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
10 AFC 8 3 1 4 12:14 10
11 Rijnsburgse Boys 8 3 1 4 15:22 10
12 GVVV 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
13 HSV Hoek 8 2 3 3 11:13 9
14 RKAV Volendam 8 2 3 3 10:17 9
15 Jong Almere City 8 2 1 5 15:17 7
16 Koninklijke HFC 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
17 VV Kloetinge 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
18 Rohda Raalte 8 0 1 7 7:23 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)