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Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark de Boshoek, Hardenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
El Khayati N.
Assist: Thomassen J.
36'
de Lange T.
48' Event
Eggengoor I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Hardenberg
30%
Draws
51%
Kozakken Boys
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kozakken Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kozakken Boys have won more games recently than Hardenberg.
  • Model gives Kozakken Boys a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 12%
Kozakken Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hardenberg Kozakken Boys
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys
1:2
May 16, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys
3:3
Dec 6, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Kozakken Boys vs Hardenberg
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Kozakken Boys vs Hardenberg
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Eggengoor I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zwikstra G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kozakken Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer El Khayati N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomassen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 10 / 100
Kozakken Boys 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hardenberg Kozakken Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozakken Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hardenberg found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Kozakken Boys let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Hardenberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS Kozakken Boys
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hardenberg

(Home)
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Hardenberg
2 : 2
De Treffers
29 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3
Hardenberg
Page 1 of 6

Kozakken Boys

(Away)
19 Sept
Hardenberg
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
12 Sept
Kozakken Boys
6 : 1
Rijnsburgse Boys
05 Sept
Rohda Raalte
1 : 2
Kozakken Boys
29 Aug
Kozakken Boys
3 : 2
GVVV
22 Aug
VV Kloetinge
3 : 3
Kozakken Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)