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Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark de Boshoek
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
El Khayati N.
Assist: Thomassen J.
36'
de Lange T.
48' Event
Eggengoor I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hardenberg
40%
Draws
29%
Kozakken Boys
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Hardenberg have won more games recently than Kozakken Boys.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 12%
Kozakken Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hardenberg Kozakken Boys
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys
3:3
Dec 6, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Kozakken Boys vs Hardenberg
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Kozakken Boys vs Hardenberg
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys
0:0
May 6, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Kozakken Boys vs Hardenberg
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Eggengoor I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zwikstra G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kozakken Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer El Khayati N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomassen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 30 / 100
Kozakken Boys 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hardenberg Kozakken Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hardenberg found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Kozakken Boys let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Hardenberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS Kozakken Boys
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys341910569:3566
2De Treffers34189764:3763
3HSV Hoek34196960:3763
4Rijnsburgse Boys341681076:5556
5Hardenberg341751258:4456
6Spakenburg341681072:6056
7Katwijk341571260:5552
8Jong Almere City341551470:6250
9Kozakken Boys341381347:5547
10Jong Sparta Rotterdam341291371:7345
11AFC341291346:5445
12Barendrecht341341762:8443
13RKAV Volendam341331850:6242
14GVVV341261652:6742
15Koninklijke HFC341231933:4939
16IJsselmeervogels34942146:6531
17Excelsior Maassluis34871939:5831
18ACV Assen34791848:7130