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Hareid vs Surnadal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 9 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 9 2012 game between Hareid and Surnadal finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Surnadal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hareid
20%
Draws
80%
Surnadal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Surnadal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Surnadal a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Hareid Clean Sheet 18%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hareid Surnadal
Matches Played 27 41
Wins 2 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 1.33 1.71
Goals Conceded 3.7 3.02
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2012 Division 3 - Group 9
Hareid vs Surnadal
2:3
May 26, 2012 Division 3 - Group 9
Surnadal vs Hareid
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hareid 10 / 100
Surnadal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hareid Surnadal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Surnadal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 41 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Hareid found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Surnadal lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Surnadal
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Hareid

(Home)
20 Oct
Hareid
2 : 6
Skarbovik IF
13 Oct
Herd
6 : 2
Hareid
06 Oct
Hareid
0 : 4
Volda
29 Sept
Sunndal
6 : 0
Hareid
22 Sept
Hareid
0 : 1
Bergsoy
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Surnadal

(Away)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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