Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harju JK Laagri vs Flora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Laur K.
Assist: Rudenko Daniil
7' Event
Kelement M.
18' Event
Laur K.
Assist: Kelement M.

AI Match Summary

Harju JK Laagri in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harju JK Laagri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Harju JK Laagri
15%
Draws
35%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Flora have won more games recently than Harju JK Laagri.
  • Win probability leans Harju JK Laagri's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 18%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harju JK Laagri Flora
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 13 17
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.96 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
3:1
Aug 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
5:0
Mar 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Top Goalscorer Laur K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kelement M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorga E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri 85 / 100
Flora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harju JK Laagri Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harju JK Laagri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Harju JK Laagri remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Harju JK Laagri's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Flora let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Harju JK Laagri VS Flora
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Harju JK Laagri

(Home)
18 Oct
Harju JK Laagri
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Oct
Harju JK Laagri
2 : 0
Nomme Utd
10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

Flora

(Away)
18 Oct
Flora
2 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
15 Oct
Flora
1 : 3
Levadia
11 Oct
Kuressaare
2 : 0
Flora
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 32 25 6 1 87:22 81
2 Flora 32 19 1 12 62:44 58
3 Paide Linnameeskond 32 17 6 9 52:39 57
4 Kalju 32 15 6 11 54:33 51
5 Tammeka Tartu 32 15 2 15 42:51 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 32 14 2 16 45:47 44
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 32 10 6 16 43:63 36
8 Kuressaare 32 10 5 17 34:51 35
9 Nomme Utd 32 10 1 21 50:74 31
10 Narva 32 5 5 22 25:70 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)