Sport Picks
Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri 
Match Events
38'
38'
Sub
Kesa M. In: Bah I.
Out: Kesa M.
41'
41'
Vahermagi J.
46'
46'
Reimaa R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harju JK Laagri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Harju JK Laagri have won more games recently than Kuressaare.
- Harju JK Laagri are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 19%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harju JK Laagri | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare
0:0
Aug 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri
3:2
Jun 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare
2:3
Apr 11, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri
3:2
Sep 17, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harju JK Laagri 67 / 100
Kuressaare 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harju JK Laagri Kuressaare
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harju JK Laagri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kuressaare has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Harju JK Laagri scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Harju JK Laagri remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Harju JK Laagri VS Kuressaare
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Harju JK Laagri
(Home) 10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1 Harju JK Laagri
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10 Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
06 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 2 Tammeka Tartu
22 Aug
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 0 Kalju
16 Aug
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 2 Levadia
11 Aug
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 1 Tamper
Page 1 of 3
Kuressaare
(Away) 03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Kuressaare
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1 Narva
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0 Kuressaare
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Kuressaare
22 Aug
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 0 Kuressaare
16 Aug
Flora
2 : 3 Kuressaare
11 Aug
Kristiine
0 : 8 Kuressaare
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 81:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Flora | 29 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 59:39 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide Linnameeskond | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 48:36 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 52:28 | 50 |
| 5 | Tammeka Tartu | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 41:47 | 47 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 41:47 | 38 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 41:59 | 35 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 9 | Nomme Utd | 30 | 9 | 1 | 20 | 47:72 | 28 |
| 10 | Narva | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24:67 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
