Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harju JK Laagri vs Narva

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion
Fri, Jul 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harju JK Laagri play Narva in the Meistriliiga. Harju JK Laagri are favorites here. Recently, Harju JK Laagri averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Narva averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Harju JK Laagri won 4, Narva won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Harju JK Laagri and 1.88 for Narva. This points to a Harju JK Laagri double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Harju JK Laagri
11%
Draws
80%
Narva
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Narva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Harju JK Laagri has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Narva.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Narva.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Meistriliiga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 10%
Narva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harju JK Laagri Narva
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Narva
3:0
Mar 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Harju JK Laagri
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Narva
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Harju JK Laagri
1:3
May 27, 2025 Meistriliiga
Narva vs Harju JK Laagri
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri 10 / 100
Narva 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harju JK Laagri Narva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harju JK Laagri scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Narva let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Harju JK Laagri went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Narva lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harju JK Laagri VS Narva
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia18134146:1543
2Flora17110635:1933
3Kalju1894530:1531
4Paide Linnameeskond1885527:2229
5Tammeka Tartu1672718:2023
6Parnu JK Vaprus1772821:3123
7Nomme Utd17611033:4019
8Harju JK Laagri17611021:3019
9Kuressaare17521017:2717
10Narva17311311:4010