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Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harju JK Laagri play Nomme Utd in the Meistriliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Harju JK Laagri averaged 1 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Nomme Utd averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Harju JK Laagri won 3, Nomme Utd won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Harju JK Laagri and 1.75 for Nomme Utd. This points to a Harju JK Laagri double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Harju JK Laagri
33%
Draws
27%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nomme Utd has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Harju JK Laagri.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Harju JK Laagri.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Meistriliiga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 12%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harju JK Laagri Nomme Utd
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Harju JK Laagri
1:2
Oct 30, 2025 Estonian Cup
Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd
3:2
Aug 14, 2024 Estonian Cup
Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Top Goalscorer Rudenko Daniil
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Oostenbrink K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chisala B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri 38 / 100
Nomme Utd 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harju JK Laagri Nomme Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harju JK Laagri scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Nomme Utd let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Harju JK Laagri went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Nomme Utd lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harju JK Laagri VS Nomme Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora18120638:1936
3Kalju19104533:1634
4Paide Linnameeskond1995530:2332
5Parnu JK Vaprus1982927:3526
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd19711137:4522
8Harju JK Laagri19711125:3222
9Kuressaare19521219:3317
10Narva19311512:4610