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Harju JK Laagri vs Tallinna FC Zapoos

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Roomussaar K.
13' Event
Rudenko Daniil
14' Event
Eerme K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 13-1, with Harju JK Laagri advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Harju JK Laagri
6%
Draws
4%
Tallinna FC Zapoos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tallinna FC Zapoos haven't matched Harju JK Laagri's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Harju JK Laagri a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Harju JK Laagri have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Harju JK Laagri, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 16%
Tallinna FC Zapoos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harju JK Laagri Tallinna FC Zapoos
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 0
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2022 Estonian Cup
Harju JK Laagri vs Tallinna FC Zapoos
13:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Top Goalscorer Eerme K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Roomussaar K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tallinna FC Zapoos Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlson O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri 84 / 100
Tallinna FC Zapoos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harju JK Laagri Tallinna FC Zapoos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harju JK Laagri scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 14.00 goals as a typical output.

Tallinna FC Zapoos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 17 matches.

Recent resilience: Harju JK Laagri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harju JK Laagri VS Tallinna FC Zapoos
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Harju JK Laagri

(Home)
23 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
8 : 0
Rae Spordikool
19 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
5 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
10 Jul
Harju JK Laagri
3 : 0
Narva
05 Jul
Tammeka Tartu
2 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
20 Jun
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 3
Nomme Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tallinna FC Zapoos

(Away)
29 Oct
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0
Saku Sporting
06 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
7 : 0
FC Hell Hunt
04 Mar
Levadia
7 : 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos
30 Oct
Hiiumaa
2 : 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kuressaare1
Viimsi JK0
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
Kristiine-
TBD-
TBD-
Laaneranna-
Tartu Kalev-
Puhkus Mehhikos-
TBD-
Jager-
Tallinn Piraaja-
TBD-
Tallinna Wolves II0
Flora U1912
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vastseliina Tannem0
Legion14
TBD-
Kadakas-
Valga Warrior-
TBD-
TBD-
Elva-
Kalju U21-
TBD-
TBD-
Teleios-
Kohvile0
Paide Linnameeskond III5
TBD-
Johvi Phoenix-
Legion U2110
Vana Hea Puur1
ReUnited3
Loo JK1
Marjamaa Kompanii-
TBD-
TBD-
Helm-
Saku Sporting-
TBD-
TBD-
Rakvere-
TransferWise-
TBD-
Tammeka Tartu8
Kose0
Parnu-
TBD-
TBD-
Arukula Vigri-
Harju JK Laagri-
TBD-
TBD-
EstHam United-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
TBD-
Raplamaa-
Olympic Tallinn5
Maardu Aliens4
TBD-
Saae Latte-
Tabasalu26
JK Poseidon II0
TBD-
Tartu JK Welco-
JK Jalgpallihaigla-
TBD-
TBD-
Kalju-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Levadia-
Zenit Tallinn-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Poseidon-
Tulevik-
TBD-
TBD-
Vandra Vaprus-
Mulgi-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Tallinn-
Flora Tallinn U21-
TBD-
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Helios-
JK 32. keskkool-
Narva-
Tabasalu Ulasabat-
Aksi Wolves-
TBD-
FCI Tallinn3
Eston Villa1
Rumori Calcio-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev-
Soccernet-
TBD-
TBD-
Jogeva Wolves-
Nomme Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
FC Alliance-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev U21-
Tallinna Wolves-
TBD-
FCP Parnu0
Maksatransport3
1/32-finals
Kuressaare2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kristiine2
Laaneranna3
Tartu Kalev11
Jager0
Tallinn Piraaja-
Flora U19-
Flora-
TBD-
Legion13
Kadakas0
Valga Warrior0
Elva6
Kalju U219
Teleios0
Paide Linnameeskond III4
Johvi Phoenix5
Legion U212
ReUnited4
Marjamaa Kompanii0
Helm7
Saku Sporting0
Rakvere2
TransferWise0
Tammeka Tartu18
Parnu9
Arukula Vigri0
Harju JK Laagri29
EstHam United0
Tallinna FC Zapoos2
Raplamaa1
Olympic Tallinn3
Saae Latte0
Tabasalu3
Tartu JK Welco1
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
Kalju23
TBD-
Levadia-
Zenit Tallinn5
JK Poseidon3
Tulevik4
Vandra Vaprus1
Mulgi-
FC Tallinn-
Flora Tallinn U2113
Jarva-Jaani0
Helios0
Narva9
Aksi Wolves2
FCI Tallinn3
Rumori Calcio0
Tallinna Kalev8
Soccernet-
Jogeva Wolves-
Nomme Utd3
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
FC Alliance1
Tallinna Kalev U216
Tallinna Wolves0
Maksatransport10
1/16-finals
Kuressaare-
Laaneranna-
Tartu Kalev2
Flora U190
Flora6
Legion0
Elva-
Kalju U21-
Johvi Phoenix-
ReUnited-
Helm1
Rakvere4
Tammeka Tartu8
Parnu0
Harju JK Laagri13
Tallinna FC Zapoos1
Olympic Tallinn0
Tabasalu5
Kalju2
Levadia0
Zenit Tallinn1
Tulevik6
FC Tallinn4
Flora Tallinn U211
Narva5
FCI Tallinn0
Tallinna Kalev15
Soccernet0
Nomme Utd0
Paide Linnameeskond4
Tallinna Kalev U216
Maksatransport2
1/8-finals
Kuressaare5
Tartu Kalev2
Flora6
Elva0
Johvi Phoenix1
Rakvere0
Tammeka Tartu5
Harju JK Laagri2
Tabasalu1
Kalju0
Tulevik0
FC Tallinn2
Narva2
Tallinna Kalev1
Paide Linnameeskond11
Tallinna Kalev U211
Quarter-finals
Kuressaare1
Flora2
Johvi Phoenix1
Tammeka Tartu6
Tabasalu2
FC Tallinn1
Narva1
Paide Linnameeskond0
Semi-finals
Flora1
Tammeka Tartu0
Tabasalu0
Narva1
Final
Flora1
Narva2