Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 De Bosk

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Harkemase Boys play DVS '33 Ermelo in the Derde Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Harkemase Boys averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. DVS '33 Ermelo averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Harkemase Boys won 0, DVS '33 Ermelo won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Harkemase Boys and 1.63 for DVS '33 Ermelo. This points to a DVS '33 Ermelo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Harkemase Boys

40%

Draws

29%

DVS '33 Ermelo

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

DVS '33 Ermelo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Harkemase Boys.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Derde Divisie 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 14%

DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Harkemase Boys	DVS '33 Ermelo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	9	10
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Derde Divisie

Harkemase Boys vs DVS '33 Ermelo

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

Sep 27, 2025 Derde Divisie

DVS '33 Ermelo vs Harkemase Boys

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Mar 22, 2025 Derde Divisie

Harkemase Boys vs DVS '33 Ermelo

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Oct 19, 2024 Derde Divisie

DVS '33 Ermelo vs Harkemase Boys

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Mar 2, 2024 Derde Divisie

Harkemase Boys vs DVS '33 Ermelo

Possession: 57% - 40% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harkemase Boys 31 / 100

DVS '33 Ermelo 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Harkemase Boys DVS '33 Ermelo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harkemase Boys scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

DVS '33 Ermelo let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Harkemase Boys went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

DVS '33 Ermelo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harkemase Boys VS DVS '33 Ermelo

1 Goals Scored 2.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rohda Raalte	34	20	7	7	63:36	67
2	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	17	11	6	59:39	62
3	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	4	11	84:43	61
4	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	9	8	46:36	60
5	Genemuiden	34	17	5	12	61:52	56
6	Staphorst	34	17	3	14	63:53	54
7	Harkemase Boys	34	14	10	10	56:44	52
8	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	53:43	52
9	Eemdijk	34	14	8	12	68:59	50
10	VV Scherpenzeel	34	14	7	13	59:49	49
11	VV Hoogeveen	34	14	6	14	54:64	48
12	Sportlust	34	14	5	15	54:52	47
13	USV Hercules	34	13	5	16	53:57	44
14	Excelsior 31	34	12	4	18	49:57	40
15	Huizen	34	11	7	16	51:63	40
16	TEC	34	12	4	18	48:64	40
17	Urk	34	8	7	19	61:97	31
18	HSC '21	34	1	5	28	35:109	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	68:43	73
2	Lisse	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	VVSB	34	21	5	8	70:37	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	63:39	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	71:46	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	71:58	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	64:61	53
8	VV Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	61:48	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	53:51	48
10	VV Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	56:51	44
11	RKSV UDI 19	34	11	6	17	57:74	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	51:59	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	43:61	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	45:64	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	35:69	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	49:65	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	47:70	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	45:87	25