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Harkemase Boys vs HVV Hollandia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between Harkemase Boys and HVV Hollandia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harkemase Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Harkemase Boys
20%
Draws
0%
HVV Hollandia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harkemase Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Harkemase Boys carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Harkemase Boys's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 15%
HVV Hollandia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harkemase Boys HVV Hollandia
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 17 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.77 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs HVV Hollandia
2:1
Aug 25, 2010 KNVB Beker
HVV Hollandia vs Harkemase Boys
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harkemase Boys 84 / 100
HVV Hollandia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harkemase Boys HVV Hollandia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harkemase Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harkemase Boys scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

HVV Hollandia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

HVV Hollandia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Harkemase Boys VS HVV Hollandia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Harkemase Boys

(Home)
10 Oct
Harkemase Boys
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
Page 1 of 7

HVV Hollandia

(Away)
10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Staphorst
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3
USV Hercules
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1
HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Sportlust
06 Sept
HVV Hollandia
4 : 5
TEC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Scherpenzeel 9 7 1 1 17:9 22
2 Genemuiden 9 7 0 2 22:10 21
3 ACV Assen 9 6 2 1 22:9 20
4 Harkemase Boys 9 6 2 1 17:12 20
5 Excelsior 31 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
6 TEC 9 6 1 2 28:16 19
7 Sportlust 9 4 4 1 16:13 16
8 Purmersteijn 9 4 3 2 16:12 15
9 Sparta Nijkerk 9 4 2 3 22:18 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 9 4 1 4 18:19 13
12 USV Hercules 9 3 1 5 12:20 10
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 9 1 3 5 12:17 6
14 Staphorst 9 1 3 5 14:20 6
15 VV DOVO 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Eemdijk 8 1 1 6 11:28 4
17 HVV Hollandia 8 0 1 7 15:27 1
18 SVZW Wierden 9 0 1 8 9:27 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 9 7 1 1 19:2 22
2 Lisse 9 7 1 1 16:6 22
3 Rijnvogels 9 6 2 1 25:9 20
4 Excelsior Maassluis 9 6 2 1 19:9 20
5 VV Zwaluwen 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
6 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
7 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
8 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
9 Blauw Geel 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
10 SV Poortugaal 9 4 0 5 9:13 12
11 Gemert 9 2 4 3 12:17 10
12 Roosendaal 9 3 0 6 15:20 9
13 UNA 9 1 5 3 12:14 8
14 TOGB 9 2 2 5 15:21 8
15 VVSB 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 9 2 0 7 8:20 6
18 EVV 9 0 2 7 8:20 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)