Sport Picks
Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Harkemase Boys
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Harkemase Boys have won more games recently than Staphorst.
- Win probability leans Harkemase Boys's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 18%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harkemase Boys | Staphorst |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Harkemase Boys
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst
2:0
May 18, 2024 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Harkemase Boys
2:0
Dec 9, 2023 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Staphorst
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harkemase Boys 76 / 100
Staphorst 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harkemase Boys Staphorst
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harkemase Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Staphorst has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Harkemase Boys found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Harkemase Boys remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Harkemase Boys VS Staphorst
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Harkemase Boys
(Home) 03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2 Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 VV Scherpenzeel
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
15 Aug
Harkemase Boys
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
Page 1 of 3
Staphorst
(Away) 03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3 TEC
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 Genemuiden
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 ACV Assen
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
15 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 2 Staphorst
16 May
Excelsior 31
3 : 1 Staphorst
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
