Sport Picks
Harkemase Boys vs USV Hercules - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Harkemase Boys and USV Hercules finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harkemase Boys.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USV Hercules
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Harkemase Boys come out ahead of USV Hercules on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Harkemase Boys's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Harkemase Boys have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 20%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harkemase Boys | USV Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs USV Hercules
5:3
May 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Harkemase Boys
4:0
Dec 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs USV Hercules
4:2
Mar 29, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs USV Hercules
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Harkemase Boys
2:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harkemase Boys 42 / 100
USV Hercules 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harkemase Boys USV Hercules
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Harkemase Boys found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.
USV Hercules let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Harkemase Boys went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Harkemase Boys VS USV Hercules
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Harkemase Boys
(Home) 03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2 Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 VV Scherpenzeel
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
15 Aug
Harkemase Boys
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
Page 1 of 3
USV Hercules
(Away) 03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 USV Hercules
08 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
1 : 1 USV Hercules
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
