Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 De Bosk

VV DOVO

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Harkemase Boys play VV DOVO in the Derde Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Harkemase Boys averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. VV DOVO averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Harkemase Boys won 2, VV DOVO won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 6, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Harkemase Boys and 1.13 for VV DOVO. This points to a VV DOVO double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Harkemase Boys

30%

Draws

36%

VV DOVO

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VV DOVO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Harkemase Boys picked up more points recently compared to VV DOVO.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 21%

VV DOVO Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Harkemase Boys	VV DOVO
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	14
Draws	9	7
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.57	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.39
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Derde Divisie

Harkemase Boys vs VV DOVO

Possession: 40% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Sep 13, 2025 Derde Divisie

VV DOVO vs Harkemase Boys

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Apr 5, 2025 Derde Divisie

VV DOVO vs Harkemase Boys

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Oct 26, 2024 Derde Divisie

Harkemase Boys vs VV DOVO

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Apr 13, 2024 Derde Divisie

VV DOVO vs Harkemase Boys

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harkemase Boys 35 / 100

VV DOVO 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Harkemase Boys VV DOVO

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: VV DOVO or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Harkemase Boys attacking → ← attacking VV DOVO

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harkemase Boys scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

VV DOVO let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Harkemase Boys went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

VV DOVO lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 49

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rohda Raalte	34	20	7	7	63:36	67
2	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	17	11	6	59:39	62
3	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	4	11	84:43	61
4	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	9	8	46:36	60
5	Genemuiden	34	17	5	12	61:52	56
6	Staphorst	34	17	3	14	63:53	54
7	Harkemase Boys	34	14	10	10	56:44	52
8	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	53:43	52
9	Eemdijk	34	14	8	12	68:59	50
10	VV Scherpenzeel	34	14	7	13	59:49	49
11	VV Hoogeveen	34	14	6	14	54:64	48
12	Sportlust	34	14	5	15	54:52	47
13	USV Hercules	34	13	5	16	53:57	44
14	Excelsior 31	34	12	4	18	49:57	40
15	Huizen	34	11	7	16	51:63	40
16	TEC	34	12	4	18	48:64	40
17	Urk	34	8	7	19	61:97	31
18	HSC '21	34	1	5	28	35:109	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	68:43	73
2	Lisse	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	VVSB	34	21	5	8	70:37	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	63:39	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	71:46	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	71:58	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	64:61	53
8	VV Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	61:48	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	53:51	48
10	VV Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	56:51	44
11	RKSV UDI 19	34	11	6	17	57:74	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	51:59	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	43:61	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	45:64	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	35:69	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	49:65	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	47:70	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	45:87	25