Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harksheide vs Paloma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harksheide host Paloma in the Oberliga Hamburg. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Paloma have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Harksheide have conceded 2.55 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, Harksheide have won 0 to Paloma's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2026, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.56, favoring Paloma. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Harksheide
30%
Draws
47%
Paloma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paloma have won more games recently than Harksheide.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Paloma have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 10%
Paloma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harksheide Paloma
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.61 2.59
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Paloma
1:5
Aug 24, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Harksheide
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Harksheide
4:1
Nov 1, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Paloma
4:5
Apr 26, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Paloma
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harksheide 34 / 100
Paloma 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harksheide Paloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harksheide found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Paloma let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Harksheide went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harksheide VS Paloma
1.13 Goals Scored 3
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Harksheide

(Home)
09 Oct
Harksheide
3 : 3
Eintracht Norderstedt II
02 Oct
Harksheide
0 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
26 Sept
Altona
1 : 1
Harksheide
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2
TSV Buchholz 08
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
Page 1 of 7

Paloma

(Away)
04 Oct
Paloma
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
27 Sept
TSV Concordia
2 : 3
Paloma
20 Sept
Paloma
3 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
12 Sept
Dassendorf
1 : 2
Paloma
06 Sept
Paloma
3 : 2
Sasel
Page 1 of 6