Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harksheide vs Sasel

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sasel in this Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sasel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Harksheide
15%
Draws
51%
Sasel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sasel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sasel lately — more wins on the board than Harksheide.
  • Model gives Harksheide a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 10%
Sasel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harksheide Sasel
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.82 2.72
Goals Conceded 2.79 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Harksheide
3:1
Mar 20, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Sasel
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Harksheide
6:2
Apr 6, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Sasel vs Harksheide
0:0
Oct 18, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs Sasel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harksheide 38 / 100
Sasel 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harksheide Sasel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harksheide Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harksheide's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sasel has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Sasel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Harksheide VS Sasel
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Harksheide

(Home)
16 Aug
Sasel
3 : 1
Harksheide
31 Jul
Harksheide
1 : 1
Suderelbe
26 Jul
Pinneberg
2 : 1
Harksheide
15 May
HT 16
5 : 4
Harksheide
08 May
Harksheide
2 : 0
Curslack-Neuengamme
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Sasel

(Away)
16 Aug
Sasel
3 : 1
Harksheide
01 Aug
Altona
0 : 2
Sasel
26 Jul
Sasel
0 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
10 Jul
Eimsbutteler
6 : 4
Sasel
15 May
Eimsbutteler
4 : 0
Sasel
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