Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harksheide vs TSV Concordia

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV Concordia in this Oberliga Hamburg matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Concordia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Harksheide
35%
Draws
35%
TSV Concordia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harksheide lately — more wins on the board than TSV Concordia.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Concordia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harksheide TSV Concordia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.58 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs TSV Concordia
1:3
May 9, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs TSV Concordia
3:4
Nov 8, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Harksheide
4:1
May 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs TSV Concordia
2:2
Nov 11, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Harksheide
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harksheide 30 / 100
TSV Concordia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harksheide TSV Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harksheide's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: TSV Concordia conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Harksheide stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harksheide VS TSV Concordia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Harksheide

(Home)
26 Sept
Altona
1 : 1
Harksheide
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2
TSV Buchholz 08
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3
TSV Concordia
30 Aug
Teutonia Ottensen
0 : 0
Harksheide
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TSV Concordia

(Away)
27 Sept
TSV Concordia
2 : 3
Paloma
20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2
TSV Concordia
11 Sept
TSV Concordia
4 : 2
Eintracht Norderstedt II
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3
TSV Concordia
28 Aug
TSV Concordia
3 : 4
Altona
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