Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Hartmann J.
31'
31'
Moller F.
34'
34'
Diallo S.
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 game between Harksheide and TSV Concordia finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Concordia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TSV Concordia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Harksheide carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Harksheide Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harksheide | TSV Concordia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.59 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs TSV Concordia
1:3
May 9, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs TSV Concordia
3:4
Nov 8, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Harksheide
4:1
May 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Harksheide vs TSV Concordia
2:2
Nov 11, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Harksheide
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harksheide Compare
Top Goalscorer Hartmann J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moller F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
TSV Concordia Compare
Top Goalscorer Diallo S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Saglam O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harksheide 30 / 100
TSV Concordia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harksheide TSV Concordia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TSV Concordia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Harksheide found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).
TSV Concordia has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Harksheide went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Harksheide VS TSV Concordia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Harksheide
(Home) 18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2 TSV Buchholz 08
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3 Harksheide
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3 TSV Concordia
30 Aug
Teutonia Ottensen
0 : 0 Harksheide
21 Aug
Harksheide
1 : 3 Dassendorf
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Harksheide
2 : 2 TSV Buchholz 08
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3 TSV Concordia
21 Aug
Harksheide
1 : 3 Dassendorf
31 Jul
Harksheide
1 : 1 Suderelbe
08 May
Harksheide
2 : 0 Curslack-Neuengamme
Page 1 of 3
TSV Concordia
(Away) 20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2 TSV Concordia
11 Sept
TSV Concordia
4 : 2 Eintracht Norderstedt II
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3 TSV Concordia
28 Aug
TSV Concordia
3 : 4 Altona
23 Aug
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 1 TSV Concordia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2 TSV Concordia
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3 TSV Concordia
23 Aug
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 1 TSV Concordia
25 Jul
Teutonia Ottensen
2 : 0 TSV Concordia
09 May
Harksheide
3 : 4 TSV Concordia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Altona | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99:30 | 82 |
| 2 | Dassendorf | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:32 | 82 |
| 3 | Eimsbutteler | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 96:48 | 70 |
| 4 | Paloma | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 84:54 | 70 |
| 5 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 96:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Niendorfer TSV | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 78:44 | 61 |
| 7 | HEBC Hamburg | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 56:45 | 53 |
| 8 | Vorwarts-Wacker | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 86:97 | 50 |
| 9 | TSV Buchholz 08 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 70:76 | 46 |
| 10 | Suderelbe | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 70:83 | 44 |
| 11 | SC Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 69:73 | 41 |
| 12 | Sasel | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 60:73 | 40 |
| 13 | Turkiye Wilhelmsburg | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 73:94 | 36 |
| 14 | Harksheide | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 63:89 | 35 |
| 15 | Halstenbek-Rellingen | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 53:83 | 35 |
| 16 | TSV Concordia | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 47:88 | 29 |
| 17 | Alsterbruder | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 37:90 | 25 |
| 18 | Hamburger III | 34 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 45:131 | 11 |
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
