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Harland & Wolff vs Ards - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harland & Wolff host Ards in the NIFL Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Harland & Wolff at 1.66 goals for, 1.66 against; Ards at 1.21 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Harland & Wolff have won 3 to Ards's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (0.94 - 1.50) back Harland & Wolff to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Harland & Wolff
30%
Draws
39%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harland & Wolff lately — more wins on the board than Ards.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Harland & Wolff Clean Sheet 16%
Ards Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harland & Wolff Ards
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Harland & Wolff
2:3
Nov 15, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Harland & Wolff
1:4
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Ards
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Harland & Wolff
2:5
Mar 15, 2025 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Ards
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harland & Wolff 31 / 100
Ards 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harland & Wolff Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ards Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harland & Wolff found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Ards's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Harland & Wolff has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Harland & Wolff VS Ards
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Harland & Wolff

(Home)
24 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2
Loughgall
20 Oct
Armagh
1 : 3
Harland & Wolff
16 Oct
Glenavon
4 : 0
Harland & Wolff
10 Oct
Institute
0 : 0
Harland & Wolff
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Ards

(Away)
31 Oct
Ards
1 : 1
Newry City
24 Oct
Armagh
1 : 1
Ards
20 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
16 Oct
Ards
0 : 2
Institute
09 Oct
Newington FC
0 : 2
Ards
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 14 9 4 1 36:16 31
2 Glenavon 13 8 3 2 34:16 27
3 Newington FC 13 8 2 3 29:22 26
4 Institute 13 6 3 4 23:18 21
5 Ballinamallard 14 6 3 5 20:19 21
6 Queens University 14 6 2 6 24:18 20
7 Newry City 14 5 5 4 21:23 20
8 Warrenpoint 12 5 3 4 21:17 18
9 Ards 14 4 5 5 16:17 17
10 Loughgall 14 4 5 5 18:26 17
11 Harland & Wolff 13 5 1 7 19:22 16
12 Moyola 13 4 3 6 15:25 15
13 Rathfriland Rangers 13 4 1 8 14:25 13
14 Dundela 12 2 5 5 19:24 11
15 Strabane Athletic 14 2 5 7 13:24 11
16 Armagh 14 1 6 7 12:22 9
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)