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Harland & Wolff vs Loughgall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harland & Wolff host Loughgall in the NIFL Championship. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Harland & Wolff have averaged 2.09 scored and 1.64 conceded recently, against Loughgall's 1.39 scored and 1.39 conceded. Head-to-head, Harland & Wolff have won 3 to Loughgall's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.44, favoring Harland & Wolff. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Harland & Wolff
15%
Draws
49%
Loughgall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loughgall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harland & Wolff come out ahead of Loughgall on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Harland & Wolff Clean Sheet 16%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harland & Wolff Loughgall
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.09 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Harland & Wolff
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Loughgall
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Loughgall
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Harland & Wolff
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Harland & Wolff vs Loughgall
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harland & Wolff 31 / 100
Loughgall 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harland & Wolff Loughgall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loughgall Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harland & Wolff scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Loughgall let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Away concern: Loughgall has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harland & Wolff VS Loughgall
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harland & Wolff

(Home)
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Annagh
3 : 1
Harland & Wolff
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 7

Loughgall

(Away)
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 11 6 2 3 24:20 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Newry City 11 5 3 3 19:19 18
6 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
7 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
8 Ards 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
9 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
10 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
12 Dundela 11 2 5 4 19:23 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 11 3 0 8 11:23 9
16 Armagh 11 0 5 6 9:18 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)