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Harlow vs Stansted FC

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Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harlow play Stansted FC in the Club Friendly 2021. Harlow are favorites here. Recently, Harlow averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. Stansted FC averaged 1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Harlow won 1, Stansted FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 13, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Harlow and 1.58 for Stansted FC. This points to a Harlow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Harlow
15%
Draws
29%
Stansted FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harlow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Harlow picked up more points recently compared to Stansted FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.58 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Harlow Clean Sheet 14%
Stansted FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harlow Stansted FC
Matches Played 28 8
Wins 10 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.96 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Harlow vs Stansted FC
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harlow 53 / 100
Stansted FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harlow Stansted FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harlow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Harlow & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Harlow attacking → ← attacking Stansted FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harlow scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Stansted FC let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Harlow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Stansted FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 7
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00