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Haro Deportivo vs Calasancio

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Manzanos M.
43' Event
Camara M.
53' Event
Saenz C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Haro Deportivo and Calasancio finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haro Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Haro Deportivo
35%
Draws
15%
Calasancio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Haro Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Haro Deportivo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Haro Deportivo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Haro Deportivo Clean Sheet 20%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haro Deportivo Calasancio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.55 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.39 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Calasancio
4:3
Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Calasancio
3:0
Sep 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Haro Deportivo
1:4
Feb 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Haro Deportivo
1:1
Sep 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Calasancio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haro Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzanos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lezana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Calasancio Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saenz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haro Deportivo 36 / 100
Calasancio 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haro Deportivo Calasancio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calasancio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Haro Deportivo scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Calasancio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Haro Deportivo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Haro Deportivo VS Calasancio
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Haro Deportivo

(Home)
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0
Yague
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
14 Aug
Haro Deportivo
1 : 4
Naxara
Page 1 of 7

Calasancio

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
06 Jun
Calasancio
1 : 1
Agoncillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 CD Calahorra 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Berceo 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
4 CDFC La Calzada 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
5 Pradejon 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
6 Alfaro 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
7 Varea 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Agoncillo 4 1 2 1 10:8 5
9 Cenicero 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Anguiano 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 San Marcial 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Comillas CF 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
13 Oyonesa 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Yague 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
15 Casalarreina CF 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
16 River Ebro 4 1 0 3 4:12 3
17 Calasancio 4 0 2 2 5:11 2
18 Vianes 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)