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Haro Deportivo vs Varea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Esteban R.
35' Event
Zunzu
38' Event
Zunzu

AI Match Summary

Haro Deportivo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haro Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Haro Deportivo
15%
Draws
36%
Varea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haro Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Haro Deportivo at 1.74 per game, Varea at 1.2.
  • Win probability leans Haro Deportivo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Haro Deportivo Clean Sheet 20%
Varea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haro Deportivo Varea
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 19 19
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.74 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Varea
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Varea
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Haro Deportivo
3:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Haro Deportivo
8:0
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Varea
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haro Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zunzu
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Varea Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteban R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haro Deportivo 67 / 100
Varea 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haro Deportivo Varea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haro Deportivo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Haro Deportivo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Haro Deportivo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Varea let in goals in 54% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Haro Deportivo VS Varea
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Haro Deportivo

(Home)
01 Nov
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Varea
25 Oct
Vianes
1 : 3
Haro Deportivo
18 Oct
Haro Deportivo
5 : 1
Casalarreina CF
11 Oct
CD Calahorra
4 : 0
Haro Deportivo
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Anguiano
Page 1 of 7

Varea

(Away)
01 Nov
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Varea
29 Oct
Varea
0 : 3
FC Andorra
25 Oct
Varea
1 : 0
Alfaro
18 Oct
Calasancio
0 : 1
Varea
11 Oct
Varea
1 : 0
Agoncillo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 9 7 1 1 22:13 22
2 CDFC La Calzada 9 7 0 2 15:11 21
3 Alfaro 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 CD Calahorra 9 6 0 3 26:10 18
5 Berceo 9 6 0 3 21:11 18
6 Anguiano 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
7 Varea 9 4 4 1 8:5 16
8 Agoncillo 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
9 San Marcial 9 4 3 2 12:7 15
10 Oyonesa 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
11 Pradejon 9 4 1 4 10:12 13
12 Yague 9 3 0 6 9:19 9
13 Calasancio 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
14 River Ebro 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
15 Comillas CF 9 1 3 5 6:12 6
16 Cenicero 9 1 2 6 8:16 5
17 Vianes 9 1 1 7 10:17 4
18 Casalarreina CF 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)