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Harpia W vs Atletico Capixaba W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Capixaba Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Harpia W
20%
Draws
29%
Atletico Capixaba W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harpia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harpia W lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Capixaba W.
  • Harpia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Harpia W Clean Sheet 14%
Atletico Capixaba W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harpia W Atletico Capixaba W
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 8 2
Draws 1 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.05
Goals Conceded 2.4 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Capixaba Women
Harpia W vs Atletico Capixaba W
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 Capixaba Women
Atletico Capixaba W vs Harpia W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harpia W 84 / 100
Atletico Capixaba W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harpia W Atletico Capixaba W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harpia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Capixaba W conceded in 95% of 21 recent games.

Harpia W found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Harpia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harpia W VS Atletico Capixaba W
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Harpia W

(Home)
03 Oct
Estadual W
3 : 0
Harpia W
27 Sept
Prosperidade W
3 : 1
Harpia W
13 Sept
Harpia W
1 : 1
Atletico Capixaba W
06 Sept
Estadual W
0 : 2
Harpia W
30 Aug
Harpia W
3 : 2
Vilavelhense W
Page 1 of 4

Atletico Capixaba W

(Away)
10 Oct
Prosperidade W
3 : 0
Atletico Capixaba W
06 Oct
Atletico Capixaba W
0 : 11
Prosperidade W
27 Sept
America ES W
1 : 4
Atletico Capixaba W
20 Sept
Atletico Capixaba W
0 : 5
Prosperidade W
13 Sept
Harpia W
1 : 1
Atletico Capixaba W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prosperidade W 6 6 0 0 40:1 18
2 Harpia W 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Estadual W 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
4 Atletico Capixaba W 6 2 3 1 10:11 9
5 MDE W 6 2 2 2 12:18 8
6 America ES W 6 0 2 4 6:29 2
7 Vilavelhense W 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women (Play Offs)