Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harrach vs US Chaouia

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Miloud Hadefi stadium, Oran
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

US Chaouia in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Harrach
35%
Draws
25%
US Chaouia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Harrach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harrach lately — more wins on the board than US Chaouia.
  • Win probability leans Harrach's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Harrach have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Harrach, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Harrach Clean Sheet 68%
US Chaouia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harrach US Chaouia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.61 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ligue 2
Harrach vs US Chaouia
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Ligue 2
US Chaouia vs Harrach
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Ligue 2
Harrach vs US Chaouia
1:0
May 6, 2023 Ligue 2
Harrach vs US Chaouia
2:0
Dec 17, 2022 Ligue 2
US Chaouia vs Harrach
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrach 68 / 100
US Chaouia 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harrach US Chaouia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harrach's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Harrach remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: US Chaouia conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Harrach VS US Chaouia
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harrach

(Home)
26 Sept
JSM Tiaret
1 : 1
Harrach
19 Sept
Harrach
1 : 0
ASM Oran
06 Aug
Harrach
1 : 1
Saoura
16 May
Harrach
1 : 2
US Chaouia
08 May
Harrach
3 : 0
WA Mostaganem
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US Chaouia

(Away)
26 Sept
Magra
1 : 0
US Chaouia
18 Sept
US Chaouia
1 : 1
Beni Oulbane
20 May
CR Temouchent
1 : 0
US Chaouia
16 May
Harrach
1 : 2
US Chaouia
09 May
Biskra
1 : 1
US Chaouia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
CR Temouchent 2
Harrach 1
US Chaouia 2
Final
CR Temouchent 1
US Chaouia 0