Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Matthews Lewis M.
36'
36'
Williams M.
58'
58'
Sub
Upton T. In: Whelan T.
Out: Upton T.
AI Match Summary
AFC Fylde in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Fylde.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Harrogate haven't matched AFC Fylde's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harrogate | AFC Fylde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 National League
Harrogate vs AFC Fylde
1:2
Apr 10, 2020 National League
Harrogate vs AFC Fylde
0:0
Feb 29, 2020 FA Trophy
AFC Fylde vs Harrogate
2:3
Aug 26, 2019 National League
AFC Fylde vs Harrogate
0:0
May 1, 2019 National League
AFC Fylde vs Harrogate
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer Taylor E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
AFC Fylde Compare
Top Goalscorer Whelan C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Thomas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harrogate 30 / 100
AFC Fylde 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harrogate AFC Fylde
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Harrogate's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
AFC Fylde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Harrogate has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Harrogate VS AFC Fylde
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Harrogate
(Home) 29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Harrogate
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1 Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
31 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Gateshead
22 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 2 Barrow
Page 1 of 3
AFC Fylde
(Away) 29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2 Carlisle
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1 AFC Fylde
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2 Altrincham
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4 AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1 AFC Fylde
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4 AFC Fylde
31 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3 AFC Fylde
22 Aug
Woking
3 : 2 AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25:17 | 22 |
| 3 | Southend | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 21 |
| 4 | Altrincham | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Fylde | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 20 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Aldershot | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Kidderminster | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 10 | Hornchurch | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 17 |
| 12 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 13 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 14 | Eastleigh | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Halifax | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 18 | Woking | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 19 | Boston United | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8:16 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:28 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6:25 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
