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Harrogate vs AFC Fylde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup Exercise Stadium, Harrogate

AFC Fylde

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. AFC Fylde have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Harrogate have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor AFC Fylde slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.31) back Harrogate to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Harrogate

20%

Draws

48%

AFC Fylde

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

AFC Fylde haven't matched Harrogate's recent run of results.
Win probability leans AFC Fylde's way, sitting at 50%.
Harrogate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor AFC Fylde, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Harrogate Clean Sheet 18%

AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Harrogate	AFC Fylde
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	18	15
Draws	4	3
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.97	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 National League

Harrogate vs AFC Fylde

1:2

Apr 10, 2020 National League

Harrogate vs AFC Fylde

0:0

Feb 29, 2020 FA Trophy

AFC Fylde vs Harrogate

2:3

Aug 26, 2019 National League

AFC Fylde vs Harrogate

0:0

May 1, 2019 National League

AFC Fylde vs Harrogate

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrogate 23 / 100

AFC Fylde 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Harrogate AFC Fylde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harrogate's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: AFC Fylde conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Harrogate stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harrogate VS AFC Fylde

2.13 Goals Scored 1.63

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Harrogate

(Home)

31 Oct

Forest Green

2 : 2

Harrogate

28 Oct

Carlisle

3 : 0

Harrogate

24 Oct

Harrogate

3 : 1

Sutton

20 Oct

Harrogate

3 : 1

Bury FC

17 Oct

Bury FC

1 : 1

Harrogate

Page 1 of 6

AFC Fylde

(Away)

30 Oct

AFC Fylde

3 : 1

Hornchurch

27 Oct

AFC Fylde

3 : 1

Hartlepool

24 Oct

Boreham Wood

4 : 0

AFC Fylde

17 Oct

AFC Fylde

5 : 0

Atherton Collieries

10 Oct

AFC Fylde

2 : 0

Scunthorpe

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Tournament Bracket & Draw

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Harrogate vs AFC Fylde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Harrogate

AFC Fylde

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Harrogate

AFC Fylde

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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