Sport Picks
Harrogate vs Colchester
England
League Two 2025/2026 Exercise Stadium, Harrogate 
Match Events
27'
27'
Sub
Iandolo E. In: Vincent-Young K.
Out: Iandolo E.
35'
35'
Bennett M.
46'
46'
Evans J.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Harrogate and Colchester finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harrogate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
74%
20%
6%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Harrogate have managed 1.2 goals a game lately — Colchester are scoring more at 1.26.
- Win probability leans Harrogate's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 68%
Colchester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harrogate | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Harrogate vs Colchester
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Colchester vs Harrogate
3:1
Jan 21, 2025 League Two
Harrogate vs Colchester
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 League Two
Colchester vs Harrogate
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 League Two
Harrogate vs Colchester
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer Slater J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Colchester Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harrogate 95 / 100
Colchester 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harrogate Colchester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Harrogate went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Harrogate found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Colchester has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Difficult form: Colchester registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Harrogate VS Colchester
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Harrogate
(Home) 08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2 Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
21 Jul
South Shields
1 : 2 Harrogate
18 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 1 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2 Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
02 May
Harrogate
1 : 2 Barnet
18 Apr
Harrogate
1 : 0 Colchester
Page 1 of 3
Colchester
(Away) 08 Aug
Colchester
0 : 2 Southampton
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
28 Jul
Colchester
0 : 2 Charlton
24 Jul
Colchester
2 : 2 West Ham U21
21 Jul
Colchester
2 : 3 Peterborough
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
18 Jul
Harlow
0 : 5 Colchester
17 Jul
Heybridge
0 : 4 Colchester
11 Jul
Norwich
0 : 0 Colchester
02 May
Cheltenham
1 : 4 Colchester
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
