Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Bradbury T. In: Horton G.
Out: Bradbury T.
46'
46'
Sub
Eguaibor D. In: Boatswain A.
Out: Eguaibor D.
46'
46'
Sub
Chadwick B. In: Supyk L.
Out: Chadwick B.
AI Match Summary
Harrogate in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harrogate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gateshead haven't matched Harrogate's recent run of results.
- Harrogate are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 20%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harrogate | Gateshead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League
Harrogate vs Gateshead
2:1
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Gateshead vs Harrogate
2:0
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Harrogate vs Gateshead
3:1
Jul 23, 2019 Club Friendly
Gateshead vs Harrogate
1:0
Apr 22, 2019 National League
Harrogate vs Gateshead
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer Hmami J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Gateshead Compare
Top Goalscorer Jameson P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harrogate 49 / 100
Gateshead 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harrogate Gateshead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harrogate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Harrogate's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Gateshead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Harrogate went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Harrogate VS Gateshead
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Harrogate
(Home) 07 Nov
Harrogate
1 : 4 AFC Fylde
31 Oct
Forest Green
2 : 2 Harrogate
28 Oct
Carlisle
3 : 0 Harrogate
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Sutton
20 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Bury FC
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Harrogate
1 : 4 AFC Fylde
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Sutton
20 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Bury FC
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 3
Gateshead
(Away) 03 Nov
Gateshead
3 : 1 Stoke City U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0 Gateshead
27 Oct
Boston United
2 : 1 Gateshead
20 Oct
Stafford
5 : 0 Gateshead
17 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 1 Stafford
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0 Gateshead
27 Oct
Boston United
2 : 1 Gateshead
20 Oct
Stafford
5 : 0 Gateshead
10 Oct
Halifax
4 : 1 Gateshead
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0 Gateshead
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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