Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Bradbury T. In: Horton G.
Out: Bradbury T.
46'
46'
Sub
Eguaibor D. In: Boatswain A.
Out: Eguaibor D.
46'
46'
Sub
Chadwick B. In: Supyk L.
Out: Chadwick B.
AI Match Summary
Harrogate in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harrogate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
77%
15%
8%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
77%
/ Very High Confidence
- Gateshead haven't matched Harrogate's recent run of results.
- Harrogate are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 20%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harrogate | Gateshead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League
Harrogate vs Gateshead
2:1
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Gateshead vs Harrogate
2:0
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Harrogate vs Gateshead
3:1
Jul 23, 2019 Club Friendly
Gateshead vs Harrogate
1:0
Apr 22, 2019 National League
Harrogate vs Gateshead
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer Hmami J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Gateshead Compare
Top Goalscorer Jameson P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harrogate 85 / 100
Gateshead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harrogate Gateshead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harrogate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Harrogate's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Gateshead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Harrogate went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Harrogate VS Gateshead
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Harrogate
(Home) 19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1 Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
31 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Gateshead
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
31 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Gateshead
22 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 2 Barrow
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2 Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 3
Gateshead
(Away) 19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6 Southend
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0 Gateshead
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0 Gateshead
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3 Derby U21
05 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 1 Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0 Gateshead
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0 Gateshead
31 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Gateshead
22 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 0 Gateshead
08 Aug
Eastleigh
2 : 1 Gateshead
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Halifax | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
