Sport Picks
Harrogate vs Lincoln City
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Exercise Stadium, Harrogate 
Match Events
29'
29'
Moylan J.
Assist: Street R.
46'
46'
Sub
Morris B. In: Evans J.
Out: Morris B.
48'
48'
Bayliss T.
AI Match Summary
Lincoln City in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lincoln City lately — more wins on the board than Harrogate.
- Harrogate are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Lincoln City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lincoln City, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Lincoln City have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 16%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harrogate | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Harrogate vs Lincoln City
1:3
Aug 13, 2024 EFL Cup
Lincoln City vs Harrogate
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Harrogate vs Lincoln City
0:4
Jul 16, 2013 Club Friendly
Harrogate vs Lincoln City
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer Taylor E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Lincoln City Compare
Top Goalscorer Moylan J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Draper F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harrogate 57 / 100
Lincoln City 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harrogate Lincoln City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harrogate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Harrogate scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Harrogate stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Lincoln City has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Harrogate VS Lincoln City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Harrogate
(Home) 26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1 Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
31 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Gateshead
22 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 2 Barrow
Page 1 of 3
Lincoln City
(Away) 19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1 Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1 Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
29 Aug
Bolton
0 : 1 Lincoln City
25 Aug
Blackpool
1 : 4 Lincoln City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
