Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harrogate vs Sutton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Exercise Stadium, Harrogate
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harrogate host Sutton in the National League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Harrogate at 1.79 goals for, 1.34 against; Sutton at 1.26 for, 1.37 against. Head-to-head, Harrogate have won 1 to Sutton's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2024, ending 2:2. xG projections (2.06 - 1.00) back Harrogate to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Harrogate
30%
Draws
28%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Harrogate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Harrogate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Harrogate are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 20%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harrogate Sutton
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 League Two
Harrogate vs Sutton
2:2
Jan 30, 2024 League Two
Sutton vs Harrogate
1:2
Jan 28, 2023 League Two
Harrogate vs Sutton
0:1
Sep 3, 2022 League Two
Sutton vs Harrogate
2:1
May 7, 2022 League Two
Harrogate vs Sutton
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrogate 67 / 100
Sutton 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harrogate Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrogate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harrogate found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Sutton has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Harrogate remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harrogate VS Sutton
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Harrogate

(Home)
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0
Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Harrogate
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1
Eastleigh
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1
Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6

Sutton

(Away)
03 Oct
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Sutton
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 12 10 2 0 32:13 32
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 12 5 3 4 14:16 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)