Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Milnes B.
16'
16'
Hobson B.
Assist: Hmami J.
31'
31'
Sub
Fairlamb L. In: Calder R.
Out: Fairlamb L.
AI Match Summary
Harrogate in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harrogate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Harrogate have won more games recently than Tamworth.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Harrogate taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 20%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harrogate | Tamworth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National League
Harrogate vs Tamworth
3:1
Mar 17, 2018 National League North
Tamworth vs Harrogate
1:1
Aug 26, 2017 National League North
Harrogate vs Tamworth
3:0
Apr 1, 2017 National League North
Tamworth vs Harrogate
3:2
Nov 12, 2016 National League North
Harrogate vs Tamworth
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer Hobson B.
1 Goals Assists Leader McGowan W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Milnes B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harrogate 40 / 100
Tamworth 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harrogate Tamworth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harrogate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Harrogate's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Tamworth has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Harrogate remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Harrogate VS Tamworth
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Harrogate
(Home) 31 Oct
Forest Green
2 : 2 Harrogate
28 Oct
Carlisle
3 : 0 Harrogate
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Sutton
20 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Bury FC
17 Oct
Bury FC
1 : 1 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Sutton
20 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Bury FC
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 3
Tamworth
(Away) 03 Nov
Tamworth
2 : 3 Everton U21
31 Oct
Tamworth
0 : 1 Woking
27 Oct
Tamworth
4 : 1 Scunthorpe
17 Oct
Carlisle
2 : 1 Tamworth
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2 Barrow
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Carlisle
2 : 1 Tamworth
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Tamworth
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1 Tamworth
15 Sept
Southend
3 : 1 Tamworth
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
